Showing posts with label zodiac signs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label zodiac signs. Show all posts

Friday, 21 April 2017

IS MYERS-BRIGGS ANY BETTER THAN A HOROSCOPE?


Myers-Briggs personality tests are widely used, produce appealing results and seem rigorous. There’s just one problem: they have little grounding in theory or practice.

The Force is strong with this test

The Myers-Briggs typology is probably the most popular form of personality testing ever devised. It is widely used in the corporate and educational worlds. An article from the Guardian reports that there are “companies that make a point of putting employee MBTI profiles on the doors to their offices, so people entering know how best to engage with them.” It has evolved into a multimillion dollar industry. And it has achieved enough cultural salience that things like this chart exist:

My personality

According to this online version of the Myers-Briggs test, I am INTJ (Introverted iNtuitive Thinking Judging) like Emperor Palpatine. And to be fair the supposed traits of this personality would be useful for trying to rule the Galaxy:
But does my being an INTJ really tell you more about me than my being a Gemini? Would an employer administering an MBTI test to a job applicant be any more reasonable than consulting their horoscope?

Consistency and clarity

For all its other deficiencies, astrology does at least have the benefit of consistency. I was born in mid-June and therefore will forever more be a gemini.
By contrast, I’ve not always been a Palpatine like INTJ. On previous occasions I’ve taken the test I’ve been Yodaesque INTP. As my one time spirit animal might say: troubling implications has this. If your result is going to be a reasonably useful indicator for long term decisions like career choices you’d expect some consistency in the results.
My flip from Jedi master to Sith lord comes about because of a structural flaw in the test. It work by categorising people according four dichotomies: Extraversion-Introversion, Sensing-Intuition, Thinking-Feeling and Judging-Perception. These are then combined to produce an overall classification. The problem is that what the test presents as distinct categories are actually a scale. Rather than being say a sensor or an intuitor, we all combine features of both.
Myers Briggs works a bit like a weather forecast that instead of telling you the temperature just tells you whether it’s hot or cold. That would be terrible. It wouldn’t make any distinction between a cool day and a snow blizzard. Plus during spring and autumn, you’d constantly be switching between the two categories as small changes in temperature took you over the dividing line.
This is essentially what happens with my test. I don’t have a clear preference for judging vs perceiving, so tend to come out near the borderline. Therefore, it doesn’t take much variation to push me over the boundaries between the categories. Now you might think this is just me and my awkward personality refusing to be easily categorised but in fact that’s pretty standard. As on most scale people congregate near the median, and extreme results are rare. Therefore, the drawing of a sharp distinction is especially inappropriate.
So in terms of clarity and consistency, astrology is our clear winner. So at this early stage it’s 1-0 to Astrology.
Theoretical underpinnings
As Sheldon explains in the above clip from the Big Bang Theory, astrology has no real theoretical basis. How about myers-briggs?
Well, it should raise our scepticism that neither of its creators Katharine Cook Briggs and her daughter, Isabel Briggs Myers had a professional background or academic training in psychology. They based their work on the Swiss psychoanalyst Carl Jung’s book Psychological Types.
Jung is a troubling source. Rather than a psychologist or psychiatrist he was a psychoanalyst. This was one of disciplines that Karl Popper branded as a paradigm example of an unempirical pseudoscience driven by anecdotes and conjecture rather than rigorous testing. Actual attempts to test it tend to fall down. As for Jung in particular many of his ideas were rather strange.
So we have a draw: both horoscopes and  Myers-Briggs come up short on the theoretical front. So it’s still 1-0 to the astrologers.

Putting it to an empirical test

Astrology fails this test so spectacularly that we need not discuss it further.
Myers Briggs does not do much better.
Consider this finding by a researcher at the University of Indiana:
In summary, it appears that the MBTI does not conform to many of the basic standards expected of psychological tests. Many very specific predictions about the MBTI have not been confirmed or have been proved wrong. There is no obvious evidence that there are 16 unique categories in which all people can be placed. There is no evidence that scores generated by the MBTI reflect the stable and unchanging personality traits that are claimed to be measured. Finally, there is no evidence that the MBTI measures anything of value.
A number of studies have found that personality types said to be most appropriate for certain professions, notably nursing or teaching, turn out to be no more prevalent among that profession than among the general population. The Army Research Institute commissioned one such study to determine if the MBTI or similar tests could be used to improve the placement of personnel in different duties, and firmly concluded that the results of such tests did not justify their use in career counseling.
However, this round has to go the Myers-Briggs test because the following research while almost entirely rejecting it does not do so completely:
Consistent with earlier research and evaluations, there was no support for the view that the MBTI measures truly dichotomous preferences or qualitatively distinct types, instead, the instrument meastires four relatively independent dimensions. The interpretation of the Judging-Perceivmg index was also called into question. The data suggest that Jung’s theory is either incorrect or madequately operationalized by the MBTI and cannot provide a sound basis for interpreting it. However, correlational analyses showed that the four MBTI indices did measure aspects of four of the five major dimensions of normal personality The five factor model provides an alternative basis for interpreting MBTI findings within a broader, more commonly shared conceptual framework.
So we’ve come to a draw overall: 1-1.

For fun but nothing more!

I concede that Myers-Briggs has a certain intuitive appeal. It feels right to me that the two Star Wars characters I should be most like are Yoda and the Emperor! And as Myers-Briggs typology is so well known it is ideal for exercises like classifying fictional characters.
However, something of such flimsy scientific merit has no place in serious matters like choosing careers, degree subjects or partners.
It is only good when it is treated as a bit of fun. Rather like horoscopes.

Thursday, 20 April 2017

New FBI Statistics Expose the Most Dangerous and EVIL Signs of the ZODIAC


The FBI has recently revealed which signs of the Zodiac are the most dangerous and most likely to become criminals and serial killers. Read on to find out if you were born under a bad sign!

1. Aries, The Ram. Danger Level: 8/12

The sign of Aries hates being bossed around. It is possible that people born under this sign could turn to a career in illegal activities. The ram likes having power and loves achieving it by any means necessary. Adolph Hitler is the most wicked example of a dangerous and power-hungry Aries.

2. Taurus, The Bull. Danger Level: 9/12

It is a well-known fact that the sign of Taurus can get irritated easily. In fact, they get so angry that they could become a tyrant like Saddam Hussein or Pol Pot. In the bull's defense, they could avoid people and turn to financial crimes such as money laundering.

3. Gemini - The Twins. Danger Level: 1/12

Give your twin a pat on the back, because Gemini is the least dangerous sign! Their criminal activities would probably boil down to petty theft and fraud. The negative sides of Gemini, like anxiety and inconsistency, can be the cause of this. The most notorious Geminis in history include the serial killers Jeffrey Dahmer and David Berkowitz aka Son of Sam!

4. Cancer, The Crab. Danger Level: 12/12

Dear Cancerians, we don't want to burst your bubble, but according to the FBI, you are the deadliest sign of the zodiac! Your sign could commit crimes of passion due to mental instability and jealousy. This sign is most likely to kill, and it is the sign which has the most criminals. OJ Simpson is perhaps the most famous deadly Cancerian.

5. Leo, The Lion. Danger Level: 3/12

Leos can have a highly explosive temper. They love to be in the spotlight, but when their temper explodes, they might not be in control. They could end up doing dangerous criminal acts just for the attention and for the fame. Mussolini and Rasputin are among the most dangerous people born under the zodiac sign of Leo.

6. Virgo, The Virgin. Danger Level: 5/12

Virgo is the OCD sign of the Zodiac. They love details and planning, and they can be immaculate when it comes to committing a crime. They'll cover up every single detail! However, they are more likely to become thieves and burglars. The most notorious Virgos are Ivan The Terrible and Ed Gein.

7. Libra, The Scales. Danger Level: 4/12

Congrats, Libra! It is highly unlikely that your honest Zodiac sign will break the law! You like justice, balance, and rules, but, if your scales tip, you could go into criminal activity. If you turn to the dark side, you might become the leader of an evil organization. The list of the most dangerous and psychotic Librans includes Lee Harvey Oswald, Lawrence Sigmund Bittaker, and Andrei Chikatilo aka the Soviet Butcher!

8. Scorpio, The Scorpion. Danger Level: 11/12

The sign of Scorpio is so evil, it should be renamed to Darth Vader-o! Scorpios have a dark and private side to them which makes them excellent at spying and assassination. They can be very sadistic and manipulative. So, the sting of an evil Scorpio can be lethal. Just ask Charles Manson. Considering that most serial killers are born in November, it's best to stay away.

9. Sagittarius, The Archer. Danger Level: 10/12

Saggitarians rarely hurt others, so, they are most likely to become dangerous thieves. Arresting them will be tough since they are always on the run. The serial killer Ted Bundy escaped from prison twice, while the infamous drug lord Pablo Escobar was a tyrant in the worst sense of the word. Joseph Stalin, too.

10. Capricorn, The Goat. Danger Level: 7/12

This sign can act just like a mean goat would! It can commit small crimes, but the Goat could get very dangerous if this is often repeated. However, they are very sloppy, and they wouldn't last long against investigators. Harold Shipman, one of the most prolific serial killers in history, earned the nickname "Mr. Death" by killing more than 250 people.

11. Aquarius, The Water-Bearer. Danger Level: 2/12

These peaceful signs are often the victim of a crime. However, they do have a dark side. They can get vengeful and manipulative. Their intelligence could make them experts at hacking. The serial killer Gary Ridgway is an Aquarian, along with Kim Jong Il.

12. Pisces, The Fish. Danger Level: 6/12

Pisces is the most self-destructive of all signs. They'll often indulge in drugs and alcohol in order to hurt themselves. However, their dark side could also lead them to horrific actions. If they are crazy, they could become serial killers. John Wayne Gacy aka the Killer Clown, and Richard Ramirez, the Night Stalker are the most dangerous Piscean serial killers. Osama Bin Laden was born in this sign too.